The foreign exchange market is unique because of
* its trading volume,
* the extreme liquidity of the market,
* the large number of, and variety of, traders in the market,
* its geographical dispersion,
* its long trading hours: 24 hours a day (except on weekends),
* the variety of factors that affect exchange rates.
* the low margins of profit compared with other markets of fixed income (but profits can be
high due to very large trading volumes)
According to the BIS,[1] average daily turnover in traditional foreign exchange markets is estimated
at $3,210 billion. Daily averages in April for different years, in billions of US dollars, are presented
on the chart below:
This $1.88 trillion in global foreign exchange market "traditional" turnover was broken down as
follows:
* $1,005 billion in spot transactions
* $362 billion in outright forwards
* $1,714 billion in forex swaps
* $129 billion estimated gaps in reporting
In addition to "traditional" turnover, $2.1 trillion was traded in derivatives.
Exchange-traded forex futures contracts were introduced in 1972 at the Chicago Mercantile
Exchange and are actively traded relative to most other futures contracts. Forex futures volume has
grown rapidly in recent years, and accounts for about 7% of the total foreign exchange market
volume, according to The Wall Street Journal Europe (5/5/06, p. 20).
Average daily global turnover in traditional foreign exchange market transactions totaled $2.7
trillion in April 2006 according to IFSL estimates based on semi-annual London, New York, Tokyo
and Singapore Foreign Exchange Committee data. Overall turnover, including non-traditional
foreign exchange derivatives and products traded on exchanges, averaged around $2.9 trillion a
day. This was more than ten times the size of the combined daily turnover on all the world’s equity
markets. Foreign exchange trading increased by 38% between April 2005 and April 2006 and has
more than doubled since 2001. This is largely due to the growing importance of foreign exchange
as an asset class and an increase in fund management assets, particularly of hedge funds and
pension funds. The diverse selection of execution venues such as internet trading platforms has also
made it easier for retail traders to trade in the foreign exchange market. [4]
Because foreign exchange is an OTC market where brokers/dealers negotiate directly with one
another, there is no central exchange or clearing house. The biggest geographic trading centre is
the UK, primarily London, which according to IFSL estimates has increased its share of global
turnover in traditional transactions from 31.3% in April 2004 to 32.4% in April 2006. RPP
The ten most active traders account for almost 73% of trading volume, according to The Wall
Street Journal Europe, (2/9/06 p. 20). These large international banks continually provide the
market with both bid (buy) and ask (sell) prices. The bid/ask spread is the difference between the
price at which a bank or market maker will sell ("ask", or "offer") and the price at which a market-
maker will buy ("bid") from a wholesale customer. This spread is minimal for actively traded pairs of
currencies, usually 0–3 pips. For example, the bid/ask quote of EUR/USD might be 1.2200/1.2203.
Minimum trading size for most deals is usually $100,000.
These spreads might not apply to retail customers at banks, which will routinely mark up the
difference to say 1.2100 / 1.2300 for transfers, or say 1.2000 / 1.2400 for banknotes or travelers'
checks. Spot prices at market makers vary, but on EUR/USD are usually no more than 3 pips wide
(i.e. 0.0003). Competition has greatly increased with pip spreads shrinking on the major pairs to as
little as 1 to 2 pips.
Market participants
Financial markets
Unlike a stock market, where all participants have access to the same prices, the forex market is
divided into levels of access. At the top is the inter-bank market, which is made up of the largest
investment banking firms. Within the inter-bank market, spreads, which are the difference between
the bid and ask prices, are razor sharp and usually unavailable, and not known to players outside
the inner circle. As you descend the levels of access, the difference between the bid and ask prices
widens (from 0-1 pip to 1-2 pips only for major currencies like the Euro). This is due to volume. If a
trader can guarantee large numbers of transactions for large amounts, they can demand a smaller
difference between the bid and ask price, which is referred to as a better spread. The levels of access
that make up the forex market are determined by the size of the “line” (the amount of money with
which they are trading). The top-tier inter-bank market accounts for 53% of all transactions. After
that there are usually smaller investment banks, followed by large multi-national corporations
(which need to hedge risk and pay employees in different countries), large hedge funds, and even
some of the retail forex market makers. According to Galati and Melvin, “Pension funds, insurance
companies, mutual funds, and other institutional investors have played an increasingly important
role in financial markets in general, and in FX markets in particular, since the early 2000s.” (2004) In
addition, he notes, “Hedge funds have grown markedly over the 2001–2004 period in terms of
both number and overall size” Central banks also participate in the forex market to align currencies
to their economic needs.
[edit] Banks
The interbank market caters for both the majority of commercial turnover and large amounts of
speculative trading every day. A large bank may trade billions of dollars daily. Some of this trading
is undertaken on behalf of customers, but much is conducted by proprietary desks, trading for the
bank's own account.
Until recently, foreign exchange brokers did large amounts of business, facilitating interbank
trading and matching anonymous counterparts for small fees. Today, however, much of this
business has moved on to more efficient electronic systems, such as EBS (now owned by ICAP),
Reuters Dealing 3000 Matching (D2), the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Dukascopy - Swiss FX
Marketplace, FXMarketSpace, Bloomberg, and TradeBook(R). The broker squawk box lets traders
listen in on ongoing interbank trading and is heard in most trading rooms, but turnover is
noticeably smaller than just a few years ago.
[edit] Commercial companies
An important part of this market comes from the financial activities of companies seeking foreign
exchange to pay for goods or services. Commercial companies often trade fairly small amounts
compared to those of banks or speculators, and their trades often have little short term impact on
market rates. Nevertheless, trade flows are an important factor in the long-term direction of a
currency's exchange rate. Some multinational companies can have an unpredictable impact when
very large positions are covered due to exposures that are not widely known by other market
participants.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment